If you bet against people doing the right thing, you’ll never be wrong. Right?
When trying to predict how people will behave, think of the best thing they could do, and then assume the opposite will happen.
That’s just human nature. Right?
After the terror attack in England (which one?), I wrote a post called “I Have Seen the Future, and it Sucks.” In relevant part, it read:
- There will be no political solution.
- Things will get worse before they get better, if they get better.
- This will come to the U.S. if we don’t get serious about two things: Destroying ISIS and similar organizations wherever they pop up, and controlling our own borders and immigration policy.
I was writing about jihad, spedically, hence the point about ISIS and borders. Because as counterterrorist organizations note, they seed their ranks amongst the migrants coming into Europe and the United States.
This is, quite obviously, the wrong choice to make.
So there you have my “No political solution” and “Things will get worse before they get better” predictions coming true.
I have no clue how this will play out, except that I fully expect to see retaliation by Muslims, which will lead to more retaliation against them. Followed by a government crackdown in England against non-Muslims, which we’re already seeing with the post-London Bridge attack free-speech crackdowns.
So always bet on bad. I guess that’s the lesson here: Never assume people will do the right thing. Lovely, isn’t it.
But I don’t revel in this. I hate it. There is so much good in potentia that could be done but we’re too busy trying to screw each other over, or worse. And there is no legislating out way out of it.
- Is it a question of imbalanced incentives?
- Is it a question of culture?
- Is it a question of poverty and desperation?
- Is it a question of religion?
Probably yes to all, but also no. There’s something so broken in us that even in societies of abundance and tolerance we find ways to kill each other, and ourselves, in spectacular fashion.
I don’t know the way out. That’s something I can’t predict. All I can say is that somedays…most days, I’m ready to leave this world and never look back.
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